Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.036384 0.039623 0.042884 0.046407 0.050100 0.053850 0.057940
2025-11-16 0.030905 0.035671 0.040630 0.046151 0.052103 0.058304 0.065232
2025-11-23 0.027800 0.033772 0.040165 0.047463 0.055510 0.064062 0.073791
2025-11-30 0.025218 0.032120 0.039701 0.048546 0.058488 0.069232 0.081635
2025-12-07 0.022861 0.030462 0.039015 0.049196 0.060836 0.073597 0.088513
2025-12-14 0.020609 0.028710 0.038041 0.049359 0.062503 0.077101 0.094356
2025-12-21 0.019238 0.027869 0.038015 0.050516 0.065224 0.081732 0.101420
2025-12-28 0.017016 0.025814 0.036402 0.049683 0.065537 0.083536 0.105209
2026-01-04 0.015577 0.024625 0.035740 0.049900 0.067007 0.086614 0.110409
2026-01-11 0.014529 0.023855 0.035527 0.050599 0.069003 0.090269 0.116249
2026-01-18 0.013516 0.023053 0.035214 0.051126 0.070752 0.093606 0.121702
2026-01-25 0.011672 0.020999 0.033199 0.049448 0.069757 0.093647 0.123253
2026-02-01 0.010432 0.019721 0.032156 0.048980 0.070253 0.095493 0.126987
2026-02-08 0.009386 0.018645 0.031324 0.048739 0.071001 0.097626 0.131058
2026-02-15 0.009000 0.018511 0.031744 0.050107 0.073751 0.102182 0.138028
2026-02-22 0.008562 0.018266 0.031989 0.051232 0.076191 0.106363 0.144559
2026-03-01 0.008013 0.017807 0.031908 0.051906 0.078048 0.109826 0.150231
2026-03-08 0.007353 0.017120 0.031471 0.052076 0.079242 0.112466 0.154905
2026-03-15 0.007046 0.016985 0.031804 0.053271 0.081746 0.116721 0.161539
2026-03-22 0.006188 0.015859 0.030653 0.052412 0.081568 0.117634 0.164099
2026-03-29 0.005689 0.015305 0.030310 0.052636 0.082778 0.120261 0.168740
2026-04-05 0.005354 0.015012 0.030339 0.053358 0.084632 0.123686 0.174358
2026-04-12 0.004999 0.014654 0.030249 0.053902 0.086242 0.126802 0.179599